Yesterday, i discussed some of the consequences of this tremendously persistent and deep trough that is presently over north america, causing very very cold temperatures in large parts of the u.s and i’m going to continue today with some of the climatology and meteorology to actually show you. What is going on, i checked the number of people in texas without power, and yesterday it was about up to about four and a half million people with over five million in the country without power this morning, uh it uh. Well, it went down yesterday to three something 3.2 million people or so and this morning, when i checked it was about, it was higher again and then it’s dropped to about 2.7 million people this afternoon, so there’s still millions and millions of people that are without power. For some people you know it’s the second even third day, it’s, very, very cold, so they’re not able to heat their houses. Pipes are freezing the refrigerated food must be going bad and, i believe in houston, there’s a potable water advisory, a drinking water advisor advisory because the purification plants don’t have power to run so they have water shortages. Now, in houston, what is really frustrating to a lot of people is they’re in the suburbs of these cities, these huge cities, and they can still see the skylines of these cities. You know houston and other big cities in texas completely lit up. While they don’t have power themselves, it must be extremely dystopian and frustrating to them.
So anyway, let me get back into the meteorology with this video, so this is a um. This is a movie that’s playing from um tropical tidbits.com, okay and it’s it’s, the global forecast system, two meter temperature anomaly and it’s relative to the 1981 to 20 10 climatology, so the 30 year average so it’s a temperature anomaly relative to that. Okay. So what it’s doing is it’s cycling from february 14th to about march, 4th or march 5th, so i’ll stop it i’m gon na let’s go through here. Okay, i’ll! Stop it at the end of march here, okay, so this is february 14. 2021.. This is the two meter temperature anomaly and what you can see is okay. The jet stream is coming like this okay, so it’s. The u.s is in this deep trough, going all the way to the gulf of mexico, and these are the temperature anomalies. So the this purplish uh pinkish color, is down here about 20 degrees celsius warmer than normal. This is celsius not fahrenheit. Meanwhile, the high arctic and over greenland it’s uh about plus 20 or so it’s up in there plus 12 plus 14 16.. You can look at the scale here, it’s very, very warm up in this region and it’s also there’s. Also a huge warm spell here across across asia. Um northern you know russia um all the way over here to uh. You know in deep in europe very very cold. Now i can double click, and this is a february 15th february 16th february 17th.
Today and you can see this cold is persisting across the the us. This is the 18th still cold, but it’s easing a little bit. 19Th, the forecast model is showing still cold that’s friday february 19th, the 20th, the 21st. It starts to clear on the 21st 22nd and then another little cold comes back 23rd, 24th, 25th, and now they have a huge hedin anomaly. Okay, so it goes from those really really bone, chilling temperatures to anomalies on the other side, so we’ve got the you know these deep reds here or pinks. You know we’re talking about temperatures, you know up to maybe 10 degrees celsius warmer than normal here, okay and then, if we continue february 26, 27, 28, the more cold coming by. So what you can see – and here we go – are colder than normal. Nothing like what we’ve seen march, 2nd march 3rd march 4th and then i think it recycles back to the beginning. Okay, so let’s leave this running for a minute, so you can see the cold persistent down in the u.s and that trough of the jet stream and then it swept out to warmer air and then colder. This is the weather, whiplashing or weather wilding. That i’ve often talked about so that’s in this region. You know where this huge uh, brutal cold snap has has almost take, has knocked out large chunks, at least a third of the texas power grid. You can look up in the high arctic here, so this is green land – north poles up here something somewhere uh roughly over here, where my pointer is – and you can see that it’s staying persistently much warmer than normal.
Now this has been happening for years, but people haven’t cared about this because they don’t live up in the arctic, but uh. You know, for the most part, the large bulk of the population, so people haven’t cared about it, but now it’s directly tied to the cold outbreaks um in populated areas. So this area here stays pretty much consistently warm over a green land, it’s, mostly much warmer than normal, but there is some cold that does sweep through. I talked about the u.s what’s happening there. If we look over in over this over in europe. Okay, this is eastern europe, um it’s, also staying persistently cold uh, occasionally some warm air sweeps through over in uh more over in asia in russia and siberia, extremely cold and warm temperature anomalies to the south. Okay, so you can see how the so, basically, these jet stream waves, the ridges, have warm warm air. So let me stop it let’s! Stop it here or go back to today’s date, we’re about today, so there’s, a powerful trough and then there’s a ridge up here. Right up into the far arctic, very warm air uh. You know deep trough here, ridge here and so on: okay, so the jet stream, these rosby waves as they circumvent the planet, are causing this. What we’re seeing here so so um it’s very it’s very telling here the connection between climate change and cold and warm outbreaks? Okay, so we’re getting very, very strong frontal boundaries between warm areas and cold areas is one thing: we’re getting a very fractured and broken convoluted jet stream, because we see pockets of cold pockets of warm around the planet.
And if you happen to be in a pocket of cold extending far to the south, then you get what we’re seeing in texas the infrastructure gets hammered and people are miserable, there’s, enormous consequences to people and their livelihoods. Okay. So this is the key factor here. This was tweeted out here if you’re on twitter follow this gentleman and you can get lots of images. So let me start at the beginning here. Okay, so make sure you check out my website paulbeckwith.net and please consider donating to support my work um. This video is a continuation of my video from yesterday on brutal cold rocks united states from coast to coast, i’ll post it um, you know i’m posting it the next day. Okay, my facebook page um paulbeckwith.9, okay, just follow me i’ll clean it up soon. Right now, i’m at the limit, but i’ll open up space for people i’ve been tweeting out a lot of stuff um, and i want to talk about this. Stefan ramsdorf chain of tweets, but i’ll do that in a minute. Lots of information on what’s happening the consequences to people with this cold spell so houston is facing dire water shortages because there’s power, outages and it’s pushing texans to the to the limits. Power outages have knocked out the water plant so now, there’s water shortages and houston is under a boil water advisory. Okay, i’m – not going to talk about all of the details here, but this is an ongoing nightmare.
It said wednesday morning there were nearly 2.5 million homes and businesses without power. No one knows how long the outages will happen: okay, there’s lots of images and lots of photos in terms of the power. If you google, poweroutage.us. This gives you near real time updates. So it’s showing texas, 2.754 million people without power. This, let me see if there’s an update, yeah so 417 2.6 million, so it’s gone down about 100 000 people. This morning i saw this at about 3.4 or so and during the peak of the outage, this was at 4.2 4.3 million people okay. So this is an ongoing issue. This number rises after it gets you know at night. It gets colder lots of frozen lines. Lots of transformers out and then during the day they put maximum effort into getting people online. So the number goes down and then it goes up. So this is gon na it’s gon na bounce around like this, for for a while, hopefully it’s cleared up. You know today’s wednesday, it started sunday night, hopefully it’s cleared up by the weekend, but that’s a lot of people without power for a long period of time, climate reanalyzer. You know this shows the image here, but what i really want to do is show you, okay, and i did show you this tweet here, um showing the movie. So this is a whole bunch of climate, reanalyzer type images they’re actually from tropical tidbits.com, showing the anomalies.
So um i’m gon na go to tropical tidbits.com and i want to show you some additional stuff. This is an excellent site for getting the meteorology. So if we go to thermodynamics uh 2 meter temperature anomaly, this is the the temperature anomaly that you can see here. Okay, at the moment um you know the most up to date, one um you can get the temperature and shaded. Now this is in uh degrees, fahrenheit, okay, so it get. You can see the temperatures you know floor is warm, but you can see um. You know how these are temperatures in fahrenheit. You can see where the cold line comes through and when you get up here, zero degrees. These are in fahrenheit. In this case, okay, um upper dynamics. We can look at the jet stream. Winds, 250 millibar pressure. So this is the jet stream winds here and if you follow, if you go back to the thermodynamics and look at the two meter temperature anomaly or actually the two meter temperature shaded, you can see how it’s tracking the jet stream location very closely. Okay, so the jet stream acts as a wall, the cold dry air is here and or or it’s a the cold arctic. Air, rather is above the jet stream line, and the warm humid air from further south is below okay. So these are the upper dynamics. You can get all kinds of uh, you know halfway up the atmosphere, 500 millibar heights, lower dynamics – you can get mean sea level, sea level, pressure, anomalies, and you can see the you know very high here, a low here, the depth of the low here and precipitation Moisture moisture, so you can get the 24 hour accumulated precipitation, for example, okay, so there’s lots of information on tropical tidbits.
I showed you uh earth null school, just google earth null school i’m. Looking here at the winds at 250 millibar – and you can see them here so the jet streams you see at 250 millibar. If you want to see what the polar vortex is doing, you need to go to higher lower pressure which is higher up in the atmosphere. So here you can see the polar vortex, it’s, actually split, there’s one rotation here, one rotation here, so the big difference when we talk about polar vortex we’re, mostly just talking about the high stratospheric movement of air um. If we talk about the jet streams we’re at 250, millibar, which is the height roughly um, the the troposphere, the the the division between the top of the troposphere and the bottom of the stratosphere, this is the temperature. This is the air temperature at the surface and you can see the cold regions and the warm regions, and you can see that warm regions go far up into the arctic. So here we go we’re 83.5 degrees, latitude, north and it’s above zero, okay from a powerful ridge. Now stephen ramsdorf tweeted out a couple things so there’s some good images of the deep cold here there’s, an image of you know the jet stream dropping far over north america and he talks about some papers and some of the connections between the stratospheric polar vortex and The jet streams and the temperatures on continents and stuff and there’s some references to three papers, the different stratospheric.
These are all open source. You can get them and i’m going to do a separate video just on the science of these three papers, which explain a lot about the polar vortex and these this heat outbreak.