We are going to continue discussing our multi day, severe weather event across the south, central united states and eastern half of the united states as well bringing severe weather and flash flooding across the country. If you like, detailed weather breakdowns hit, the subscribe button and notification bell to get all of my upcoming videos, so yesterday’s severe weather has brought about a total of 40 of 56 uh severe weather reports. Uh 10 of those being tornadoes, 11 hail, wind reports and 35 large hail reports, and we can see those are concentrated across western texas, central oklahoma, as well as eastern colorado. Now our severe weather threat today will continue again across oklahoma and central texas, but we also have it extending through the mississippi and ohio river valleys up into ohio and pennsylvania and western new upstate new york, where the storm prediction center has upgraded the severe weather threat To a slight chance for ohio, pennsylvania and new york and that’s gon na be due to a two percent chance of tornadoes in this region, but the greatest chance for sea and tornadoes is going to be again across oklahoma and texas. As you, we have a five percent chance highlighted in the brown section now. The again we’ll have large hail threats across the rio grande southern sections of texas, as well as up in the mid atlantic as well, and then we also still have our large uh wind vents as well across oklahoma and texas and then up in the mid atlantic.
So today’s daytime high temperatures across the south central are going to be in the upper 80s to low 90s across texas and in oklahoma. We’Ll have mid to upper 70s and our dew point. Temperatures are going to range from the mid upper 60s to low 70s across the south central united states, creating just enough potential energy in the atmosphere to create this severe weather outbreak across the south central united states. Our maximum potential cape values around this time, uh in the afternoon, will be around 3 500 across texas, and you can see we will have plenty of sheer across oklahoma and texas with the jet stream overhead as well. So this is where our five percent chance for a tornado could occur. Looking at our simulated radar. This is later on this afternoon, around 4 p.m, where we see some supercell thunderstorms forming up across north central, texas and central oklahoma. Further to the east, you see we have thunderstorms for the southern sections of missouri, northern arkansas and southern illinois, and that could also be severe in nature, as well, potentially producing a having a two percent chance of producing tornadoes in this area, as well with the jet Stream overhead refocusing our attention back to oklahoma and texas. We see our multicellular line of convection moving eastward and we have some supercells forming now across the southern sections of texas just to the west of san antonio, near the rio grande uh river. Now this will all consolidate by the time we get to around 9 10 p.
m. Tonight, as we see this, linear convective line become more of a squall line, and this will extend all the way from like joplin missouri, extending through eastern oklahoma through the dallas fort worth area and down through san antonio to the rio grande river. And this will continue pushing uh to the south and east, as we move through the overnight hours, around 1 2 a.m in the morning on thursday april 29th, and then by the time we get to the early morning, hours of 4 a.m. We see that this is starting to really lose its punch, and this is now more of just a heavy rain making event which could produce some flash flooding. Now, moving to the east we’re going to focus around ohio and western pennsylvania because that’s, where we’re going to see the greatest chance for severe weather in this section of the country in the in this afternoon’s daytime temperatures, we’re going to be in the low 80s for Ohio as well as once in pennsylvania, but the dew point, temperatures in pennsylvania will only be in the upper 50s. Ohio will touch the low 60s, so that’s going to be uh significant, because we’ll probably see a little bit more of chance of severe weather in ohio than compared to the pennsylvania. But we do have just that enough. Cape values there to produce severe weather with it being around 1000 in those lighter green colors it’s, going to be the jet stream overhead that could produce the that slight chance for tornadoes and most likely we’re going to have this.
The strong straight line winds, which will be the biggest factor in this neck of the woods so looking again at the simulated radar. This is around 4 p.m. Eastern and you can see that we’ll have a thunderstorm forming right along the border of oakland of um, not oklahoma, ohio and pennsylvania, just south of cleveland, based on this simulated radar on the hhr model. By the time we get to the evening hours around 7 8 pm tonight, we see we have more than the storms across western pennsylvania and southeastern sections of ohio and then that will consolidate as we move through the nighttime hours around 10 p.m. We’Ll have a quasi linear, convective line, moving through southeast ohio and southwestern pennsylvania and then, by the time we get to the overnight hours around 1 2 p.m. Eastern 1. Sorry. 1. 2 a.m. Eastern. We have lost our potential energy at this point and daytime heating. So our thunderstorm threat is no longer available. Moving on to our day two categorical outlook, the storm prediction center does have a marginal chance of severe weather, extending all the way from uh pennsylvania down through again through ohio, indiana illinois and then arkansas louisiana and eastern texas and highlighted in our dark green we’ll. See temperatures thursday afternoon in this area, ranging from the upper 60s and pennsylvania down to the low eight low to mid 80s across louisiana and eastern texas, but our dew point temperatures will be significantly higher.
We’Ll have temperatures from the low to mid 60s in pennsylvania down to the low 70s in louisiana and texas, so that will create just enough cape value in the mid atlantic. But the biggest threat will be down in louisiana and eastern texas, where we have higher cape values and also the low level jet. So we could see some tornadoes in this area in the overnight hours again and i’ll show you that on the simulated radar. So this is around the early afternoon, around 1 p.m. Eastern time – and we see some heavy showers for pennsylvania, some thunderstorms popping up in southern ohio, and then we see a line of thunderstorms across indiana, southern illinois, missouri arkansas and extending back to uh eastern texas. As we get to 4 p.m, uh on thursday april 29th, you see that very sharp line of thunderstorms that’s going to be along the cold front, as this pushes to the south and east very slowly, and if these thunderstorms are going to pretty much train over the Same areas for a significant amount of time, so we could see some flash flooding as these slow moving storms move through by the time we get to the evening hours around 7 8 pm eastern on thursday april 29th. You can see that we still have these multi cellular convective line across the cold front. But if you look back in louisiana, we do see those potential supercells developing, which could be tornadic in nature.
By the time we get to 10 pm on thursday, the thunderstorm threats pretty much wrapping up across the mid atlantic. We just see some heavy rain moving across the appalachian mountains in mississippi kentucky and tennessee at this point, but our severe weather threat is still going ongoing across louisiana, mississippi and eastern texas and when we get to the overnight hours. This is where we could see some nighttime tornadoes as well on the border of eastern texas and louisiana, as we see some supercell thunderstorms still moving through the area and, as i said earlier in this video, this multi day event is very slow moving. So we could see some slow and built up of rain from all these thunderstorms, with the potential of seeing upwards of seven inches across eastern texas, oklahoma and arkansas highlighted in those darker reds and browns. And if we look in the eastern half united states, the totals aren’t as high, but we could still see where those thunderstorms train over one another anywhere between two to four inches of rain. Thank you for watching this video. If you liked it, please hit the like button and leave a comment. Please share this video with your family and friends on social media and, if you’re new and, like detailed weather breakdowns hit the subscribe button and notification bell to get all my upcoming videos.